Saturday 27 April 2013

Saturday 27th April

Nets @ Bulls: Selection: Bulls -3 points 1.95 WON

Game 4 in the series is a huge game for both sides. The Nets could go 3-1 down which would look bleak for their chances of progressing to the 2nd round. The Bulls know Nets have home court for game 7 so a win today is really important especially as they are at home.
  After a dreadful game 1 where the Bulls were completely blown out, they have responded perfectly, taking games 2 and  3. The key to the turn around is that the Bulls have managed to stifle both Deron Williams and Joe Johnson, both of who were key elements of the game 1 win for Brooklyn. Lopez has not had the same success either. The Bulls coach has managed to stop the Nets pick n roll being so effective, as well as Butler, Kirk and Taj Gibson defending the Nets 3 superstars really well. I feel that the Bulls have got their game locked down right now, whilst the offense is still a slight cause for concern.  However when you are playing elite level defense is does not matter as much and I see the same result as the other night in today's game. It will be another tough close fought game but the Bulls will emerge as Victors in my opinion and move one step closer to meeting Miami Heat in the 2nd round.



Clippers @ Grizzlies: Selection: Over 177 points 1.90 Bet365 WON

Now I know we picked over 179.5 last game and the total fell just short. However I felt we were really unfortunate, as both sides missed a lot of easy buckets. I see the total being too low in this game, with Clippers really needing a win so that the series is not tied at 2-2.  The Clippers were extremely poor last game, with a complete lack of creativity on offense, forcing up poor shots late in the shot clock. Their defense was fairly solid, with the \Grizzlies playing excellent defense, with mediocre offense.  I can't see too much improvement on the Grizzlies offense this game, however, I expect a vast improvement from the Clippers, who will probably look to try and run a bit more than last game for some easier buckets.  I can't see the total points being huge, however I expect it to go over 177 points.

Pacers @ Hawks: Selection: Pacers to win money line 2.20 bet 365 LOST

This took a lot of time to select, as, I don't expect the Pacers to sweep the Hawks. However, from the 1st two games of the series which were both blow out wins for the Pacers I have been really impressed with them.  They have played excellent defense, especially in keeping Korver from getting good looks from the 3 point line, which usually provides a good scoring boost for the Hawks.  The Pacers are firing on both sides of the floor, with their big players stepping up when it really matters.  I expected the Pacers to be a little shorter in odds today, so was pleasantly surprised to see 2.2 on Bet365. This provides enough value for me, although the Hawks won't roll over so it should be a fairly tight game, with Pacers getting the stops late in the 4th quarter to go on and take tonight's match.

Player performance bets may follow. good luck today. Dave L.

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