Sunday 31 March 2013

Sunday 31st March

Miami Heat @ San Antonio Spurs, Spurs money line, 1.83 (betfred) 3 unit bet 

ATTENTION FOLLOWERS- NO LEBRON, WADE OR CHALMERS AND SKYBET ARE STILL OFFERING 1.75 WHERE OTHER BEST PRICES ARE 1.2, WE ARE NOW GOING TO BE STAKING A FURTHER 5 UNITS ON THIS! WE WANT TO LAY ON BETFAIR AT 1.2 THAT IS ALSO A VERY PROFITABLE PLAY!

We are also advising a 1 unit bet on Spurs -9.5 points, 1.99 (pinnacle)



Can the Spurs make 1st overall?
A big game in the association tonight as the overall number 1 spot is up for grabs. The Spurs have a formidable home record and the Heat are on a pretty phenomenal run at the moment. For me I base my bet on the Spurs unbelievable home record and in Heat's streak they did not face that many strong teams on the road. If the Spurs can play with the intensity they usually do and look to hit Duncan in the post to either take it on or play an in out offence they should score 100+. They just need to try and keep the big 3 quiet...

Cleveland Cavaliers @ NO Hornets, Cleveland +6 points, 1.95 LOST

Both teams have little to play for in the remainder of the season and both teams are struggling for wins at the moment. I like the +6 points for the Cavaliers tonight as they have their all-star Kyrie Irving returning to the team, which should make the cover of the handicap a value bet here.

Daily Double WON

Detroit Pistons @ Chicago Bulls and Boston Celtics @ New York Knicks - 1.68 (Pinnacle) 2 unit bet

I cannot see both home teams not winning tonight however I am not comfortable with either of the spreads. The Bulls very rarely rout teams and their home form this year has been a little bit unpredictable. Having said that they are in good form at the moment, even without Noah/Beleneli/Rose but maybe one of those three may return tonight. The Pistons are struggling massively at the moment both home and away but I just do not feel certain that the Bulls will cover tonight.

The Celtics are banged up and whilst the Knicks are missing Stoudemire, Chandler may well return tonight. J.R. Smith is on a hot streak at the moment and Raymond Felton is leading the offence well at the moment giving Kidd less time to play and therefore make more of an impact. The Knicks' bench will simply have too much force for the Celtics tonight and their ageing Pierce is carrying a lot of pressure at the moment with no K.G. I like to take this only on the moneyline as the Celtics will not let the Knicks rout them in a local derby.

Saturday 30 March 2013

Saturday 30th March

Clippers @ Rockets: over 205 points 1.95  - JAMES HARDEN IS UNAVAILABLE FOR TONIGHTS GAME THEREFORE OUR TIP IS INSTEAD NOW LA CLIPPERS moneyline - 1.95 (2 unit bet) - We are very confident with this! (SKYBET OR BETFRED)

Lakers @ Kings under 218.5 points 1.95


Friday 29 March 2013

Friday 29th March

Raptors @ Pistons, Raptors money line 2.1 (betfred or bwin) 1/2 unit bet WON

Brooklyn have made quite an impact recently
76ers @ Cavs, 76ers -2 points, 1.95 WON

Hawks @ Celtics, Celtics -3.5 points, 1.95 WON

Bobcats @ Knicks, Over 197 points, 1.95 WON

Thunder @ T'Wolves, Over 208 points, 1.95 and Thunder -8, 1.95 LOST BOTH

Heat @ Hornets, Hornets +1.5 points 1st quarter and +1.5 points 2nd quarter, 1.90 1/4 unit bet each LOST

Clippers @ Spurs, Over 198 points, 1.95 (1/2 unit bet) WON

Nets @ Nuggets, Nets +6.5 points, 1.95 LOST

Best of luck followers!


Thursday 28 March 2013

Thursday 28th March

Lakers @ Bucks, Under 209 points, 1.95 LOST

Kings @ Suns, Kings money line, 2.16 (188bet) WON

Good luck guys

Wednesday 27 March 2013

Wednesday 27th March

Magic @ Bobcats: over 200 points 1.95 WON

Bucks @ 76ers: Bucks -1 point 1.95 LOST

Clippers @ Hornets: Clippers to win money line 1.44 WON

Pacers@ Rockets: Pacers plus 6 points: 1.95      2 UNIT BET WON

Kings @ Warriors: under 213.5 points 1.95 WON

Wizards @ Thunder: Wizards plus 14.5 points 1.95 LOST

Tuesday 26 March 2013

Tuesday 26th March

NY Knicks @ Boston Celtics, Knicks money line 2.15 and Over 191 points, 1.95 WON AND LOST

Best of luck guys!!


Monday 25 March 2013

Monday 25th March

Hawks @Pacers: Pacers to win money line 1.35   THIS TIP IS CANCELLED, (ONLY PUT UP 10MINS AGO, BUT PACERS HAVE GOT 4 INJURIES TONIGHT AND THEREFORE PROVIDE NO VALUE ON THE MONEY LINE. TIP VOID)

Nuggets @ Hornets: Nuggets -3.5 points 1.50 LOST

Grizzlies @ Wizards: Grizzlies -5 points 1.90 LOST

Sunday 24 March 2013

Sunday 24th March

Trailblazers @ Thunder, Trailblazers +12 points, 1.95 LOST

Nets @ Suns, Nets -6 points, 1.95 WON

The Suns at this point have pretty much given up on their season and the Nets are right in the mix of the eastern Conference play offs spots, vying for position with Knicks Bulls and Pacers for who is going to make the most desirable seed in the play offs. I expect Nets to play hard tonight, as well as being the superior team talent wise, and I think they should be able to cover the spread in this one tonight.


Spurs @ Rockets: Selection: Spurs -1 point 1.95 (2 unit bet) LOST

The Spurs have won 4 straight and they are in 1st place in the Western Conference with a 2.5 game lead over the Oklahoma City Thunder. Tony Parker is back in the lineup and the San Antonio is 100% healthy for the first time in a few weeks. 
In their last games the Spurs beat the Utah Jazz 104-97 and the Rockets battered the Cleveland Cavaliers 116-78.
The Rockets have lost all 3 match ups with the Spurs this season and we see no reason that this will not continue tonight.  If the Rockets cannot contain the Spurs and keep them from scoring a large number of points (which they won't be able to do)  then Rockets will have to put up huge numbers on the offensive end vs a great Spurs defence.

Profit / loss

Make sure you go and check out are latest update of the profit levels for our followers this year on the Profit / loss tab!


Saturday 23 March 2013

Saturday 23rd March

Pacers @ Bulls, Under 179 points, 1.95 (2 unit bet) WON

Pacers @ Bulls, Pacers +3.5 points, 1.95 (2 unit bet) WON

Nets @ Clippers, Nets + 11.5 points, Alternate points spread (bet365) 1.52 WON

Deadly double

Grizzlies and Warriors on the moneyline = 1.69 (Ladbrokes) WON

Friday 22 March 2013

Friday 22nd March

Grizzlies @ Hornets: Grizzlies -6 points 1.95 LOST

Cavs@ Rockets: over 212 points 1.95 LOST

Jazz@Spurs: over 199 points 1.95 WON


Thursday 21 March 2013

Thursday 21st March

Portland @ Chicago: Chicago money line 1.38 LOST

76ers@ Nuggets: nuggets -14.5 1.95 1/2 a unit bet LOST

Deng over 16.5 points 1.80 1/2 unit bet LOST


Wednesday 20 March 2013

Wednesday 20th March

Magic @ Knicks, Over 196 points, 1.95 WON

Heat @ Cavaliers, Heat -7 points, 1.44 (bet365 alternate handicap) LOST

Nets @ Mavericks, Under 199 points, 1.95 LOST

Thunder @ Grizzlies, Under 190 points, 1.95 WON

Warriors @ Spurs, Warriors +8.5 points, 1.95 LOST

76ers @ Clippers, Clippers -6 points, 1.43 NAP (3 unit bet) WON

Points double

Warriors @ Spurs, Over 203 points and Jazz @ Rockets, Under 209 points = 3.73 (pinnacle) 1/2 unit bet LOST

Tuesday 19 March 2013

Tuesday 19th March

Apologies for the lateness of tonight's tips. Very busy day up in NBA Tips1 towers.

Portland @ Bucks: under 207.5 points   1.95 WON

Nuggets @ Thunder: Under 218.5 points 1.95 WON






Monday 18 March 2013

Monday 18th march

Wizards @ bobcats: wizards -6.5 1.95 LOST

Portland @ 76ers: portland +1 1.95 PUSH

Heat @ boston: heat -5 1.95 LOST

Lakers @ suns: over 200.5 points 1.95 LOST

Sunday 17 March 2013

Sunday 17th March

Heat @ Raptors, 5pm tip-off UK TIME

Enough has been made of the Heat run over the past few weeks and in our opinion at NBATips1 tower we simply cannot see past them for the title this year. With regards to this specific match-up against the Raptors, they are looking pretty nailed on for another victory.

Stats (O = Offence and D = Defence)


  • Post-up - Heat O = 1st, Raptors D = 21st
  • Spot-up - Heat O = 2nd, Raptors D = 15th
  • Iso - Heat O = 2nd, Raptors D = 17th
  • Cut - Heat O = 1st, Raptors D = 21st
  • PnR - Heat O = 2nd, Raptors D = 13th

As you can see from these individual breakdowns the Heat dominate the Raptors in all major scoring areas. Again, the perceived weakness of the Heat is grabbing boards but is in actual fact they grab 1% (73% to 72%) more boards defensively than the Raptors do. 

Psychology

The Raptors will up their game as the Heat come to town and the crowd will be more vocal. The Raptors tend to score quite heavily on the earlier starts and they tend to start fast with the Heat more sluggish looking for Bosh more often in the 1st Q. Overall though the Heat will be pumped to take this match and continue their streak

H2H

The Heat over the past three seasons lead the Raptors 9-0 and I cannot see their run ending now. They are winning by an average of over 9 points and this year this is over 10 points. 

From my research I have two picks that I would like to go for in this match-up

PICK 1: Heat -5 points on the alternate points handicap - 1.57 (bet365) 2unit bet WON

PICK 2: Toronto +2.5 points 1st Quarter - 1.91 (William Hill) 1/2 unit bet LOST

Knicks @ Clippers, 7.30pm tip-off UK Time

The Knicks are starting to struggle in the later stages of the season and Melo' Anthony having injury concerns is certainly no help to this cause. I fully expect him to miss this game as the Knicks subconciously have written this one off going to a vibrant Clippers team.

Statistics
  • Spot-up - Clippers O = 3rd, Knicks D = 18th
  • Iso - Clippers O = 6th, Knicks D = 27th
  • Cut - Clippers O = 11th, Knicks D = 23rd
  • PnR - Clippers O = 7th, Knicks D = 29th
On the switch there are virtually no categories where the Knicks dominate the Clippers and this is going to be a concern. The Clippers love to Spot up (18% of the time) and use the PnR (17% of the time) and they completely dominate the Knicks in this area. The Knicks do rank number 1 in the post-up defence and the Clippers should avoid this and just focus on perimeter shooting today. This piece of information  leads me to tip number 1 today.

Psychology

The Knicks do not really want to slip too far down the Eastern rankings but they are secure of probably a top 6 spot in the conference and therefore avoid the Heat. I do question their ambition to really win this game today and they may see it as a write-off. It is on ABC which does sometimes inspire both teams for more of a physical affair but this suits the Clippers for me. The Clippers have been on mixed form recently (6-4) but at home on national TV against a mirror like opponent means they should feel pretty pumped for this after losing at home against the Grizzlies.

H2H

Just the one game this year but the Clippers took it 102-88 at the Garden which illustrates their dominance over a team like the Knicks.

I have 3 tips that I would like to suggest for today's game but the line for one has not come out yet. 

Tip number 1: Clippers -12.5 points, 2.04 (Pinnacle) 1 unit bet WON

Tip number 2: Clippers -3 points 1st Q, 1.91 (Will Hill) 1/2 unit bet WON

Tip number 3: Blake Griffin - Under 20.5 points 1.83 (bet365) WON

Remaining tips

Warriors @ Rockets, Under 216.5 points, 1.95 1 unit bet WON

Points double: Lakers/Kings Over 212 and Nets/Hawks Under 189 (3.80 with Pinnacle) 1/2 unit bet LOST



Saturday 16 March 2013

Saturday 16th March

Just the two picks I can identify tonight:

Suns @ Wizards, Wizards - 7 points, 1.95 WON

Bobcats @ Celtics, Bobcats +15.5 points, 1.95 LOST

Best of luck guys!

Friday 15 March 2013

Friday 15th March

Twolves @ Rockets: Over 210 points 1.95 LOST

Heat @ Bucks: Over 203 points 1.95 LOST

Grizzlies @ Nuggets: Nuggets -5.5 1.95 WON

Bobcats @ Raptors: over 194 points 1.95  LOST



Kemba Walker over 15.5 points 1.76 WON




Thursday 14 March 2013

Thursday 14th March

Mavericks @ Spurs, Over 206 points, 1.95 LOST

Knicks @ Blazers, Blazers -6 points, 1.95 WON

Wednesday 13 March 2013

Wednesday 13th march

Heat @ 76ers: Heat -8 points 1.95 LOST

Knicks @  Nuggets: Nuggets -8 points 1.95 WON

Knicks @ Nuggets: Over 206 points WON

lebron James under 25.5 points  evens (bet365)  LOST




Tuesday 12 March 2013

Tues 12th March

Lakers @ Magic, Under 208.5 points, 1.95 LOST

Hawks @ Heat, Over 197 points, 1.95 LOST

Hornets @ Nets, Under 185 points, 1.95 WON

Wizards @ Cavaliers, Wizards -1, 1.95 LOST

Lakers @ Magic, Lakers money line 1.26 WON

Celtics @ Bobcats, Bobcats +10.5 points, 1.95 WON


Monday 11 March 2013

Monday 11th March

Knicks @ GSW: Over 202 points 1.95 LOST

Thunder @ Spurs: Thunder to win money line 2.22 (betfair) LOST

Sunday 10 March 2013

Sunday march 10th

Bulls @ lakers: bulls +5.5 points 1.95

Pacers @ heat: pacers plus 7 points 1.95

Saturday 9 March 2013

Saturday 9th March

Rockets @ Suns, Rockets -6.5 points, 1.95 LOST

Jazz @ Knicks, Under 191.5 points, 1.95 LOST

David Lee Over 32.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists 1.83 N/A

Good luck tonight guys!!! 


Friday 8 March 2013

Friday 8th March

Pacers @ Magic, Pacers -9.5 WON

Thunder @ Bobcats, Thunder -14.5 WON

Mavs @ Pistons, Mavs -4.0 LOST

Pacers @ Magic, Under 189.5 points LOST

Jazz @ Bulls, Under 185.5 points WON

Raptors @ Lakers, Over 207 points WON

Rockets @ Warriors, Over 221 points LOST

Good luck tonight guys!!

Thursday 7 March 2013

Thursday 7th March

Thunder @ Knicks, Thunder -8 points, 1.95 LOST

Blake Griffin over 19.5 points, 1.83 LOST

Clippers @ Nuggets, Under 215.5 points, 1.95 WON

Wednesday 6 March 2013

Wednesday 6th March

Celtics @ Pacers: Selection: Pacers -5 points 1.47 (bet365) LOST

Celtics coming off a loss and are back to back which is never good for their aging stars KG and Pierce. Pacers playing great ball at the moment and I cannot see anything less than a win for them tonight. Celtic's defense wasn't all that impressive either last night which is strange for them, but I see them giving up a lot of points again tonight. I have decided to play it a little safer with -5 though rather than the -9.5 handicap as I'm not 100% confident the Pacers will blow them out (even though they should do), but im 100% confident in a comfortable victory of at least 5 points.

Wizards@Timberwolves: Selection: Wizards -2 points 1.95 WON

Pre-season I had the Wizards having a shot at the 8th seed in the West. Obviously when Wall went down there was no hope of that happening, however, with their star point guard back the Wizards are looking like the team I thought they would be pre-season. Timberwolves are in turmoil right now, riddled with injuries, though actually gave Heat a good game in their last encounter at home.  However, it's easy to get up for games like the Heat at home, I don't think the players will have the same motivation tonight and I expect a Wizards victory.

Lakers @ Hornets. Selection: Lakers -2 points 1.95 WON

ERGHHH..I never back the Lakers, I never have any confidence in them but the Hornets really are a poor team. Lakers have been better since their disastrous run, and somehow still have a chance of making 8th seed in the West. Tonight is a must win game for them, and they are a better team than the Hornets. Lakers struggle with quick fast athletic teams, but Hornets play a slower tempo which will help the Lakers and I think the Lakers will win this one.

Rockets@ Mavs: Selection: Rockets money line 2.05 LOST

Hmmm, I thought about the over 221.5 points line as simply every game is a points fest involving Houston at the moment. But after closer inspection I have decided to go with the Rockets in this match up. They will be highly motivated due to wanting to secure that play off spot, and are in great form right now. I tend to stay away from backing the rockets away from home, but I think they should be favourites to win this game and the odds represent enough value for a pick.

Kings @ GSW: Selection: over 223.5 points 1.95 LOST

This is a huge points total, but, quite simply both teams give up and score a huge amount of points.  There is little regard for anything representing defense on the Kings team, and GSW love to play a fast paced game, and are great from the 3 point line as well. I cannot see this game not going over the total, with GSW posting around 115-120 points tonight, and I expect Kings to get at least 105 so the total should end up around 230ish.

Player performance bets: All 1 unit each

Harden over 26.5 points  1.71 WON

Lin over 13.5 points 1.83 LOST

Dirk over 20.5 points 1.76 WON

Lin over 6.5 assists 1.83 LOST

Noah over 13.5 points evens WON

Good Luck tonight. Alot of tips tonight so hoping for a big night.

Tuesday 5 March 2013

Tuesday 5th March

Great night last night on the blog - lets hope we can continue that tonight!

Lakers @ Thunder,  Thunder -5 and Nuggets @ Kings, Denver money line (double) = 2.31 WON

Player performances

Durant over 31.5 points, LOST

Bryant over 5.5 assists LOST

Lawson over 20.5 points (three 1/2 unit singles) WON = All 1.83! 

Monday 4 March 2013

Monday 4th march

Knicks @ Cavs: selection: knicks -2.5 1.95 WON

I know knicks are back to back and it's away but I like the knicks in this match up. They won't want to lose 2 games in a row, especially with how tight things are between knicks bulls pacers
And nets. I can see Knicks playing tighter defence and Melo having a big game, with Cavs just not having an answer for Knicks fire power. I expect knicks to win by about 6 points.

Raptors @ GSW: selection: over 203.5 points WON

Sunday 3 March 2013

Sunday 4th March

Heat @ Knicks, Heat -4.5 points, 1.95 WON

The Miami Heat are on a 13 game win streak and their motivation to not let the streak come to an end against one of their Eastern rivals will show through on Sunday. The knicks are in iffy form at the moment (5-5) and are heavily relying on Melo to get them the offence they need. Tyson Chandler will need to be quietened down today so expect longer minutes for Haslem / Andersen. I can see Lenron being put on Anthony today allowing Wade to to dominate offensively. The heat are very good at defending the pick and roll and this is a huge offensive for the Knicks. The Knicks also do not defend the Spot up well and Bosh should thrive because of this. The knicks in the matinee games do fare well but the Heat have too much strength for me today and will take this by 5+. 

Thunder @ Clippers, Thunder +2.5 points, 1.95 WON

Many of our followers may be surprised that I am not going for the inform Clippers here but under close inspection of Synergy stats the Thunder fare well against all of the Clippers most potent angles. The bench is key today and the Thunder will need big games from Collison and Martin but I do expect Ibaka to keep Griffin quiet. The Thunder will want to show the Clippers today that they are still the strongest in the West. The thunder are very potent in the cut offence and the Clippers are weak at defending this. I expect a very close game tonight and Durant should be potent in the clutch.

76ers @ Wizards, Wizards -6 points, 1.95 LOST

Grizzlies @ Magic, Grizzlies -9 points, 1.95 WON

Bulls @ Pacers, Pacers - 7 points, 1.95 and Under 179 points, 1.95 1/2 unit LOST

Points Double

Hawks @ Lakers, Over 207 points and Mavericks @ Rockets, Under 219 points = 3.64
1/2 unitLOST
Good luck everyone!!


Current Unit status

Hi guys,

Please go over to our profit and loss section to check out our current profit levels for this NBA season, we are very happy with our current standings and hope to keep pushing for the upcoming post-season.

NBATips1 team

Saturday 2 March 2013

Saturday 2nd march

Warriors @ 76ers, under 197.5 points and Warriors -1.0 both at 1.95 LOST

Holiday to score over 19.5 points 1.83 WON

Raptors @ Bucks, over 200.5 points 1.95 WON

Friday 1 March 2013

Friday 1st march

Pacers @ Raptors: Pacers -2 points 1.95 WON

Rockets @ Magic: Rockets -9 points 1.95 LOST

Grizzlies @ Heat: Grizzlies +7.5 points 1.95 WON

Pistons @ Hornets: under 195.5 points 1.95 WON

Thunder @ Nuggets: Over 218 points 1.95 LOST