Monday 31 December 2012

Monday 31st December

Heat @ Magic, Heat -10 points, 1.95 and under 193.5 1.95 LOST

Bobcats @ Bulls, Bobcats +11.5 points, 1.95 NO MKG SO THIS TIP IS NOW NOT RECOMMENDED AND SHOULD BE DISCOUNTED

Suns @ Thunder, Over 206 points, 1.95, Thunder 1.1 WON

Nets @ Spurs, Spurs ML 100/550 (YOUWIN) WON

Grizzlies @ Pacers: selection: over 179.5 points 2.2 (betfair) LOST

Best of Luck!!

Sunday 30 December 2012

Sunday 30th December

Celtics @ Kings, Under 197, 1.57 LOST

Jazz @ Clippers, Clippers -5.5, 1.47 WON

Spurs @ Mavs, Over 200.5 points, 1.50 LOST

Best of Luck!!

Saturday 29 December 2012

Saturday 29th December

Thunder @ Rockets, Thunder -4 points, 1.90 WON

Celtics @ Warriors, Warriors -3.5 points, 1.95 (Youwin) WON

Heat @ Bucks, Over 197.5 points, 1.95 (Youwin) LOST

Suns @ T'Wolves, Over 195.5 points, 1.95 (Youwin) WON

Wizards @ Bulls, Bulls - 10.5 points, 1.95 (Youwin) We have just had a reliable source inform us that Coach Thibs will only play Deng and Rip if all goes well in warm-up. Due to this doubt, we now remove this tip

Hornets @ Bobcats, Under 190 points, 1.95 (Youwin) LOST


Friday 28 December 2012

Friday 28th December

Suns @ Pacers, Pacers 1.29 and Under 193 1.53 WON BOTH

Magic @ Wizards, Magic -1.5, 1.90 LOST

Raptors @ Hornets, Hornets -2.5, 1.90 LOST

Clippers @ Jazz, Over 192.5 points, 1.90 WON

Knicks @ Kings, Knicks -4 points, 1.90 NO CARMELO ANTHONY (WE REMOVE THIS TIP)

Heat @ Pistons, Heat - 6 points, 1.90 LOST

Bobcats @ Nets, Under 193 points, 1.90 WON

Trail Blazers @ Lakers, TB + 9 points, 1.90 LOST

Current units = +18.05 units for the year

Thursday 27 December 2012

Thursday 27th December

Mavs @ OKC Thunder, Mavs +13.5 points, 1.54 WON

Boston Celtics @ LA Clippers, Clippers -8 points, 1.90 LOST and Over 190 points, 1.90 WON

Good luck all!


Wednesday 26 December 2012

Boxing Day

Hornets @ Orlando, Orlando -3.0 points, 1.90 LOST

Bulls @ Pacers, Over 177.5 points, 1.90 NOT PLAYED

Cavs @ Wizards, Cavs 1.95 WON

76ers @ Memphis, 76ers + 9.0 points, 1.90 WON

Nets @ Bucks, Bucks -3.5 points, 1.90 WON

Raptors @ Spurs, Spurs -13.0 points, 1.90 WON

Knicks @ Suns, Knicks -2.5 points, 1.90 LOST

Warriors @ Jazz, Over 203 points, 1.90 LOST

Lakers @ Nuggets, Over 214.5 points, 1.90 WON

Houston @ Wolves, Over 208 points, 1.90 and Twolves -5.0 points, 1.90 LOST

A huge selection of matches tonight and after a fairly disappointing Xmas Day we are looking for a far more positive Boxing Day!


Monday 24 December 2012

XMAS DAY

We shall be adding to the blog through the night focusing on a very exciting day tomorrow in the NBA. Xmas Day is probably the best regular season day of Basketball and we are determined to give our followers a profitable day.

We will be doing a preview of each match and more importantly our researched tips when the odds become available, so here goes:

Boston Celtics @ Brooklyn Nets

In the early start on Xmas day we start with a derby game which will certainly be hard fought! Boston have had a very mixed start to the year and it just seems that the simple reality for Doc Rivers is that the ageing Paul Pierce is starting to feel the pinch. KG, much like Tim Duncan, is rolling back the years but still cannot do somethings he used to! Ray Allen seems to be quite a loss and Rajon Rondo is trying to carry the team on his own shoulders with mixed success. Rajon is great at gaining dishes but he simply needs to now improve his jump shot and rack PPG up to 18-20. What has always defined a good Boston team is their active hustle in D but that, worryingly, seems to be lacking this year.

Brooklyn under new direction and coming out o New York have had a positive start to the season. Deron Williams, Brooklyn's all-star player has been satisfactory at point guard but there are still others in that 1 position across the league who are having a far more successful year. In my opinion, the reason for their success is brook Lopez at the 5. He has been instrumental in leading them and when injured, you could visibly tell the difference. Joe Johnson is also a much talked about player and on such an important day he needs to step up to the point scoring plate. Whilst Brooklyn's starting 5 gets a lot of attention it was their bench in November that tore Boston's bench apart. It will be very interesting to witness whether this happens again or not?

With regards to the match-up I can see fairly high points and on Xmas Day I simply cannot look past the home team.

Score prediction:  I see Brooklyn taking this one 98-92.

Selections to take: Over 184.5 points, 1.90 LOST and Brooklyn money line 1.66 LOST

OKC Thunder @ Miami Heat

With a replay of last year's NBA final this is a mouth watering prospect for all Basketball fans. Both teams are top of their respective conferences, which whilst expected of the Heat, OKC have outperformed a much fancied Lakers early in the season. Miami have not been at their best this year which could be partly down to the dip in form of Dwayne Wade as well as Miami not giving 100% effort on the defensive end. Lebron has been as superb as you would expect from the current MVP producing consistent numbers and is sharing the basketball more than ever. Chris Bosh has been playing at a solid level but has continued to struggle against the bigger centres in the league. The addition of Ray Allen early in the season was a fruitful one, however, just recently he has been going off the boil.

OKC have been playing to a very high level this year and one particular advantage they have over the Heat at the moment is consistent form. Whether or not this is linked in to effort levels is almost impossible to tell. KD is once again striving for an MVP season and Russell Westbrook is proving once again to be an able side-kick. Serge Ibaka is consistently improving and Kevin Martin is filling James Harden's sixth man boots well. Kendrick Perkins remains, for me, somewhat of the weak link in the team.

With regards to the match-up we all know Heat had the better of OKC last year and this was mainly down to a severe hustle on KD and Russell Westbrook having a very poor final. Perkins and Ibaka need to severely dominate the paint against the Heat and provide some secure screens to open up KD and Westbrook for mid range jumpers and open drives to the lane.

I just feel, once again, at home the Heat will have too much firepower but I will expect the points line to be high. Tips will be announced once the odds are revealed but I hope you have enjoyed this preview.

Score prediction: I can see Miami taking this one 109 - 104

Selections: Over 205.5 points 1.90 LOST, Miami Heat -2.5 points 1.90 WON

Houston Rockets @ Chicago Bulls

Wow! Another amazing match up on Xmas day. A free scoring offensive machine vs the best defense in he league. Obviously being a Bulls fan I cannot wait for this game. But fan bias aside this is a very intriguing match up.  Also the Bulls will be welcoming Asik back to the United Center for the 1st time since his departure.

As far as the match goes I think we will see a fairly tight affair, with Houston being a mixed bag away from home, recently putting a poor display at Toronto. However at home they are strong scoring well over 100 points a game. Harden seems to have adjusted well as being the main man on his new team putting up a good points average on a reasonable efficiency.  Asik has demonstrated he can put some points on the board and remain a defensive monster. What will be interesting is to see how Harden does against such a strong defense in Chicago. The Bulls seems to have finally started to find their feet with the new players and accustomed to Rose's long term absence.  Belinelli has grown into his starting roll since rip hamilton's injury and has thrived putting up great numbers which has really helped the Bulls offensively.

The way I see this game going is if Bulls can play well on the offensive end I see them shutting down Houston and not allowing them to score as freely as they usually like to and rely upon. The Bulls will need to defend the perimeter well and make sure they have a decent night around the 3 point line as well.  Against New York we saw that Nate had an impressive day from beyond the arc which really helped the bulls get past a below par Knicks team. I may be a little biased however I like the bulls at home in this match up and will be looking to back them if the line/odds permit.

Selection: Bulls to win on moneyline 1.52 LOST

Denver Nuggets @ LA Clippers

Denver have had a fairly mixed start to the start of the year - probably not as positive as their fans had hoped in the pre-season. The acquisition of Iguodala has been a fairly productive one with Iggy averaging around 18 points a game. Denver, as we know, like to play fast-break Basketball and it seems like Denver match up well against teams that struggle with transition defence. Ty Lawson has had a very strong start to the year and is expected to be back tonight after an achilles issue on Saturday. Denver traditionally are very strong at home, however, travelling to the Staples Centre is going to be a very tough ask.

LA Clippers are currently sitting at number 1 on the NBA power rankings and deservedly so after going on a 13 match winning streak. All star players Chris Paul (who is currently sitting number 3 on the race to the MVP title) and Blake Griffin have had a highlight-reel full season however what we need to do is go beyond that to really ascertain why the Clippers are faring so well. Quite simply, at the moment, the Clips have the strongest bench in the NBA and are filled with possible sixth man of the year contenders such as Jamal Crawford, Matt Barnes and Eric Bledsoe.

WIth regards to this match-up I simply see the Clips outscoring Denver's bench quite considerably. I honestly believe that Denver will not try and defend LA out of the game and simply just try and score heavily. If Denver shoot hot from beyond the arc this could be a close tie, however I feel LA will take this fairly comfortably in a high scoring affair.

Score prediction: Clippers to take this 108-99

Selections: Clippers - 7.0 points WON, 1.90, Over 201 points, 1.90 WON

Knicks @ Lakers

Another game I'm looking forward to with immense interest is down on the west coast with the Knicks going to LA. A game preview will become available shortly. In the mean time the tip is over 212 points at 1.90

Selection: Over 212 points 1.90 LOST

Sunday 23 December 2012

Sunday 23rd december

Twolves @ Knicks: Selection: Twolves plus 8.5 points 1.90 WON
76ers @ Nets Selection: Under 187.5 points 1.90  WON
Twolves @ Knicks Selection: Over 197.5 points 1.90 LOST
Mavs @ Spurs Selection: Over 204.5 points 1.90 WON
76ers @ Nets Selection: 76ers + 6 points, 1.90   WON

Current units after Sunday night picks = +18.84 units

Saturday 22 December 2012

Saturday 22nd December

Hi guys, a successful night last night. We hope for more profit for our loyal followers today!

Bulls @ Hawks, Bulls moneyline 2.45   LOST

Pistons @ Wizards, Pistons -1.5, 1.90   WON

Jazz @ Heat, Heat -8.5, 1.90     WON

Grizzlies @ Rockets, Under 197 points, 1.90   LOST

Pacers @ Hornets, Pacers -3.5 points, 1.90    WON

Bobcats @ Nuggets, Over 207 points, 1.90 LOST

Lakers @ GS Warriors, GS Warriors money line, 2.00  LOST

Good luck!!

Friday 21 December 2012

Friday 21st December

Magic @ Raptors, Over 187.5 points, 1.90 LOST

Bulls @ Knicks, Over 188 points, 1.90 WON

Hornets @ Spurs, Spurs -9.5 points, 1.48 LOST

Bobcats @ Warriors, Over 205 points, 1.90 WON

Mavs @ Grizzlies, Grizzlies -5.5 points, 1.41 WON

Kings @ Clippers, Kings +18 points, 1.47 WON

Good luck!!!!


Thursday 20 December 2012

Thursday 20th December

OKC Thunder @ Minnesota Twolves, OKC -2.5, 1.90 LOST

Miami Heat @ Dallas Mavs. Heat -5.5, 1.90 WON

Best of luck!!

Wednesday 19 December 2012

Wednesday 19th December

Pistons @ Raptors Selection: Over 187 points 1.90 WON
Nets @ Knicks Selection: Knicks -5.5 points (if melo plays) .190 WON
Nets @ Knicks Selection: Over 193.5 points 2.08 (Betfair, If Melo plays) LOST
Thunder @ Hawks Selection: Thunder -4.5 points 1.71 WON
Thunder @ Hawks Selection:  Over 197.5 points 1.90 LOST
Warriors @ Kings Selection: Warriors to win money line 1.64 LOST

Note!!! If Carmelo Anthony does not play (he's a game time decision) disregard all picks on the Knicks vs Nets game. If he's playing then both picks stand.

Good Luck

Tuesday 18 December 2012

Tuesday 18th December

GS Warriors v NO Hornets, GS Warriors -7.5, 1.90 LOST

Miami Heat v Minnesota Twolves, Heat - 5.5 points 1.54 WON

Brooklyn Nets v Utah Jazz, Brooklyn -5.0 points, 1.90 LOST

Washington Wizards v Atlanta Hawks, Hawks -5.0 points 1.61 PUSH

LA Lakers v Charlotte Bobcats, Under 207 points, 1.90 WON

LATE ADDITION

Celtics @ Bulls Selection: Over 181.5 points 2.1 Betfair WON

Good luck

Monday 17 December 2012

Monday 17th December

Twolves @ Magic Selection: Twolves -3.5 points 1.90 LOST
Bulls @ Grizzlies Selection: Grizzlies to win on moneyline 1.40 WON
Spurs @ Thunder Selection: Over 207 points 1.90 LOST
Spurs @ Thunder Selection: Thunder to win money line 1.51 WON
Clippers @ Pistons Selection: Clippers -6.5 points 1.90 WON

Waiting on news about Carmelo Anthony. If he plays we advise Knicks -6.5 points. If he does not play we advise under 212 points at 1.90. WON

Good Luck everyone

Sunday 16 December 2012

Sunday 16th December

Houston Rockets v Toronto Raptors, Houston Rockets 1.58 LOST

Denver Nuggets v Sacramento Kings, Denver Nuggets 1.55 WON

Lakers @ 76ers Selection: Lakers moneyline win 1.70 betfair WON

Good luck!

Current profit = +17.10 units

Saturday 15 December 2012

Saturday 15th December

Here are tonights NBA picks:

Atlanta Hawks v GS Warriors, Hawks -6.5, 1.90 LOST

Orlando Magic v Charlotte Bobcats, Magic 1.95  WON

Miami Heat v Washington Wizards, Heat - 12.5 1.61  WON, Over 193.5 1.71 LOST

NY Knicks v Cleveland Cavaliers, NY Knicks -11.0, 1.90, Over 196.5 1.90 NOTE CARMELO ANTHONY IS NOT PLAYING TONIGHT SO THESE TIPS ARE NOW NOT RECOMMENDED!

Chicago Bulls v Brooklyn Nets, Bulls 1.45 WON

Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Twolves, Twolves 1.54 WON

SA Spurs v Boston Celtics, SA Spurs -6 1.47 WON

Utah Jazz v Memphis Grizzlies, Over 191.0, 1.90 LOST
Good luck!!

Current profit levels = +16.63 units before Saturdays matches

Friday 14 December 2012

Friday 14th December

Indiana Pacers v Phi 76ers, Under 180.5 points 1.90 WON

Milwaukee Bucks v Cleveland Cavaliers, Over 196.5 points 1.90 LOST

Brooklyn Nets v Detroit Pistons, Brooklyn -8.0 points 1.90 LOST

Min Twolves v NO Hornets, Min Twolves -4.0 points 1.90 WON

OKC Thunder v Sacramento Kings, Over 204.5 points 1.90 WON

GS Warriors v Orlando Magic, GS Warriors - 4 points 1.90 LOST

Good luck

Wednesday 12 December 2012

Wednesday 12th December

Spurs @ Jazz Selection: Spurs -3.5 points 1.90  LOST
Wizards @ Rockets Selection: Over 206 points 1.90  LOST
Grizzlies @ Suns Selection: Grizzlies -6 points 1.90  LOST
Hornets @ Thunder Selection: Thunder -12.5 points 1.71  LOST
Bulls @ 76ers Selection: Bulls to win money line 2.15  WON

Tuesday 11 December 2012

Race for MVP

I thought I would take a moment to look at the race for the MVP this season. Most people seemed to realise fairly early on last year that Lebron was a virtual certainty to add to his number of MVP awards. There were whisperings that the points machine from Oklahoma (Durant) was in with a shout due to his excellent efforts on the Thunder team but in the end Lebron won and it was completely deserved.

This year I see only a handful of candidates that can win the MVP award. Pre season there was talk of CP3, Howard, Lebron, Durant, Westbrook and a few other stars. However from what we have seen so far this season I think the list can already be narrowed down to 4 names that have a realistic hope, with a 5th that deserves a mention but in reality will not win it this year.

1) Lebron James: Odds, evens (bwin): In my opinion I really don't see any other player stopping King James from retaining his MVP status this year. Hes showing us night in night out why he is the best player of this generation, carrying Miami through some tough games thus far with Wade far from his best. The only way Lebron does not win the title again this year is if the league feels that a change is needed and gives it to someone else (which could happen).

2) Kevin Durant: Odds, 29/10 (bwin): Durant again is having a superb season with the Thunder posting excellent numbers and entertaining the crowd. Hes passing more than ever but still putting up over 20 points a game for his team. If Thunder win the Western conference I think he may have a good chance of stealing the MVP title from Lebron's grasp just as Rose did a couple of Years previously. If Durant carries on the season he's having I wouldn't be totally shocked to see him holding the coveted trophy aloft come the end of the season.

3) Kobe Bryant: odds 9/1 (bwin): In my opinion, for betting purposes Kobe offers the best value for MVP this year. He is an NBA legend that many people keep waiting for him to decline, however even though the Lakers are going through some tough times thus far this year you couldn't really argue that Kobe is at much fault for this ( I know people are saying his defense is suspect now and hes a ball hog, only plays for stats chucker etc), but you cannot ignore his level of offense so far this year scoring over 30 points a game many times. Kobe is a lock hall of famer and maybe, just maybe this will be his last elite season, and he may get the nod over Lebron because of this and be awarded another MVP title.  What may count against him is the poor form of the Lakers which could mean Kobe gets edged out in the end, however at 9/1 hes a great outsider.

4) Carmelo Anthony: odds 7/1 (bwin), I don't want to talk too much about Melo as I do not think he will end up winning the MVP this year. However its great to see him take the off season seriously and get his weight down to acceptable levels, which is really helping his game this year. Hes been the driving force for the Knicks great start to the season putting up MVP level performances night in night out. I question whether he can keep this up all season though. But its great to see him playing so well thus far this season.

5) Russel Westbrook: odds 20/1 (bwin): I have only included Westbrook because hes having such a great season so far, putting up great number and really playing well with Durant. However I do not believe Westbrook will win the MVP this year due to his team mate Durant. If Lebron was not to win it this year and they hand it to someone else, I cannot see people over looking Durant for Westbrook, it would just not happen. This may be a little unfair on Russel but Durant is the number one guy there, Scoring champ and will be favored over Westbrook every time. However he still deserves an honorable mention.

let me know your thoughts,

Dave

Tuesday 11th December

Nearly a clean sweep yesterday bar a woeful 4th quarter display from both miami and atlanta taking the total just under the points line. Tonight there are some intriguing with the two stand out games being clipps @ bulls and the new york derby, with the knicks going to the nets.

Knicks @ Nets Selection: Knicks -3points 1.90  PUSH
Lakers @ Cavs Selection: Lakers to win -3 points 1.50   LOST
Denver @ Detroit Selection: Denver to win money line 1.50   WON
Wizards @ Hornets Selection:  Hornets to win moneyline 1.44   LOST
Clippers @ Bulls Selection Clippers -2.5 points 1.90    WON


Monday 10 December 2012

Monday 10th December

Warriors @ Bobcats Selection: Warriors to win moneyline 1.55 WON
Hawks @ Heat Selection:  Over 195.5 points 1.90 LOST
Spurs @ Rockets Selection: Spurs -6 points 1.90 WON
Spurs @ Rockets Selection: Over 206 points 1.57 WON 

Current profit levels: +20.05 units

Sunday 9 December 2012

South East division

Tonight I am going to do a write up of the current happenings in the south east division. Whilst the Heat are leading the division, it is not by the margin most thought would have already opened up. The Hawks have been a massive shock so far and have taken wins against OKC and Memphis already. Bobcats have also fared very well this year and can thank Kemba Walker and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist for their change in fortune. Orlando have had a mixture of results this year but are probably slightly over achieving at this current point and Wizards have found life very difficult this year with John Wall out indefinately and Nene only just making a return.



Miami Heat

Currently we perceive the betting angle on Heat to be over points where-ever possible. They are playing fast tempo Basketball which can cost them in terms of setting good defensive positions and it becomes more of a 'you score, we score' game. Lebron is as consistent ever (25.18ppg, 9.18 reb and 6.88 ast) and Ray Allen has sunk some clutch 3s so far this season (12.94 ppg in 27 mins). Chris Bosh has been impressive in offence (19 ppg) but what is interesting is that Lebron is out-rebounding Bosh (8.06 rpg). A small centre at the moment means that the Heat are leaking quite a lot of points in the key.

Key stats


  • 103.8 ppg (rank 3)
  • 100.0 ppg for opponents (rank 22)
  • Effective FG % 54.6 (rank 1)
  • Opponents effective FG 50.0% (rank 23)
  • Opponents 2nd quarter points per game 26.8 (rank 30!!)
  • Offensive rebounds per game 8.2 (rank 29)
As you can see from the above statistics the Heat do not recycle offensive plays very well and they are leaking very high percentages of field goals. Some points based angles (2nd quarter especially) for us and our followers to work with here.


Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta have had a fantastic start to the season which was not particularly expected at the start of the campaign. Al Horford at centre is having a strong season so far (16.40 ppg and 9.93 reb) and Josh Smith also racking up some impressive stats (16.53 ppg and 8.47 reb). It is generally the overall team strength and consistent team performances that are getting the Hawks to grab some impressive wins. Atlanta are also succeeding well at getting out on the floor and using fast breaks whenever possible and the Hawks are also providing to be a team that share the ball well.

Key stats


  • Assists per game 23.2 (rank 3)
  • Opp points per game 93.6 (rank 6)
  • Fastbreak points per game 17.2 (rank 4)
  • 48.9 rebounds per game (rank 24)

    The only weakness looks their rebounding at the moment and therefore the bigger teams in the NBA could possibly dominate this area. Overall the Hawks are using their roster well and are playing clever defence making them a team we would like to back where possible at the moment
NBA Tipsters

Sunday 9th December

LA Clippers v Toronto Raptors, Clippers -6       WON

Brooklyn Nets v Milwaukee Bucks, Nets, over 193.5 points 1.90   LOST

OKC Thunder v Indiana Pacers, OKC -7 1.55   WON

LA Lakers v Utah Jazz, Over 201 points 1.57 WON

Good luck to our followers

Current profit level:

Saturday 8 December 2012

Twitter and team by team update

Dont forget to follow us on twitter @nbatips1 and let us know about how the tips are working for you. We are virtually at +20 units and a month in to the season we are happy with the current profit levels.

Furthermore tomorrow I will be starting to write a team by team update on how the season has fared so far. Keep checking the blog regularly for more regular insights from me and Dave as we head towards the new year.

Best of luck for tonights tips

Adam

Saturday 8th December

Another great night last night, nearing the 20 unit profit mark.

Hawks @ Grizzlies Selection: over 187 points 1.90 Lost
Spurs @ Bobcats selection: Spurs -9.5 points 1.90 Won
Warriors @ Wizards Selection: Warriors to win on money line 1.54 Won
Pistons @ Cavaliers: Over 188.5 points 1.90 Won
Suns @ Clippers: Clippers -6 1.46 Won

Good luck!

Friday 7 December 2012

Friday 7th December

Celtics @ 76ers Selection: Boston to win money line 1.80 LOST IN OT
Bulls @ Pistons selection:  Bulls to win moneyline 1.71   WON
Warriors @ Nets Selection: Over 195.5 points 1.90     WON 
Rockets @ Spurs: Selection: Over 206 points 1.50       TIED
Raptors @ Jazz Selection:  Jazz to win moneyline 1.32    WON
Lakers @ Thunder Selection: Over 205 points 1.57    WON
Lakers @ Thunder Selection: Thunder to be team with highest scoring quarter 1.46    WON
Lakers @ Thunder Selection: Thunder -4 points 1.50    WON

Best of Luck followers

Current profit level +16.28 units

Thursday 6 December 2012

Thursday 6th Decemer

Only two games tonight, but a very good one in Miami vs New York. I expect both games to go over the total, but am most confident about Heat Knicks. Miami do not seem to care about any concept of Defense, with Wade being particularly lazy thus far. Miami know they can get away with this due to their amazing offense. Knicks have had a great start to the season, especially Melo, who is hoping to be in the MVP hunt this year.

Knicks @ Heat: Selection: Over 201 points 1.90  (bet365)
Dallas @ Phoenix: Selection: Over 202.5 points 1.90 (bet365)

NOTE: Melo has just failed on his game time decision and is out tonight! Therefore it is too late to change the prediction, but I feel that the total in the Miami game may go under 201 now. Miami -7.5 seems a better bet.  However, Predictions will never be taken down this close to tip off. If anyone views this before tip off though I would advise Miami -7.5 points. Good luck

Wednesday 5 December 2012

Wed 5th December

Tonights Picks

NY Knicks v Charlotte Bobcats, NYK -4.5 points, 1.54 LOST

Boston Celtics v Minnesota T'wolves, Boston Celtics 1.41 WON

Boston Celtics v Minnesota T'wolves: Over 190.5 points 1.87 (Betfair) WON

SA Spurs v Milwaukee Bucks, Over 200.5 points, 1.90 WON

SA Spurs v Milwaukee Bucks, Spurs -4 points 1.40 WON

Utah Jazz v Orlando Magic, Over 196.5 points, 1.90 LOST

Best of Luck!!

Current profit: +13.82 units


Tuesday 4 December 2012

Tuesday 4th December

A successful night yesterday and there are some great games tonight. Obviously the stand out game is Thunder @ Nets, I will be watching with great interest and can't wait to see Westbrook and Deron match up and see what the Nets can do to try and contain Durant.

Today's selection are as follows.

Heat @ Wizards: Selection: Heat -10 points 1.90 LOST 
Thunder @ Nets: Selection: Thunder -4 points 1.90 WON
Thunder @ Nets: Selection: Over 192.5 points 1.90  WON
Suns @ Grizzlies: Selection: Over 194 points 1.90 WON
Suns @ Grizzlies: Selection: Memphis -7 1.55   WON
Lakers @ Rockets: Selection: Under 221 points 1.47    WON

Current Profit Level: +13.24 units




Some Thoughts

Taking a step away from day to day predictions I thought I would share some of my thoughts from the season so far, as well as my season prediction for who will be crowned NBA champions this year.

There have been a few surprises so far this season, Lakers struggling to get any sort of cohesion going between their star players, struggling both offensively and defensively. Will they be able to get it together for the play offs? Personally, I am going to say no. Lakers will not win the NBA this season, quick athletic teams such as the Thunder will be able to expose their weaknesses and I cannot see Lakers even making it to the WCF if they have to play Memphis or Spurs in the earlier rounds. Will Dwight Howard resign? Probably, but if I was a Laker fan, I would have some concerns. In my opinion Lakers will at some point put this lack luster start behind them and make it into the play offs around 4th or 5th seed.

Another surprise is just how well Memphis have started, although tipped as a definite play off contender this year, I think we have all been surprised just how well they mesh as a unit, with a decent bench and M.Gasol making a case for being the best Center in the NBA currently (on form).

I have always been shocked at just how well Golden State Warriors have started with many people predicting another miserable season for them.  Perhaps the 2nd biggest surprise of the season, (after how dismal Lakers currently are) is the form of the Bobcats. There seems to be a renewed life in the team that was hopeless in defeat after defeat last season. Gordon is putting up some decent numbers along with Walker, and the rookie MKG looks like he is going to be a star in the making. can they keep this decent run up and make the playoffs...? Well..No, not this year, however I do not see them having the worst record in the NBA this year and will have a vastly improved record compared to last year.

My next point to address is, just who is going to win the NBA this year, and who has a realistic shot at making a serious championship run. My contenders are, Heat, Thunder, Grizzlies, Spurs, Knicks and MAYBE Lakers (I know in my above point i do not think they can win it, but I would be foolish to completely write them of so early in the season). I want to include Chicago in this list, and in fact I will add The Bulls and Celtics, however I cannot see anyone from the east stopping the Heat making the NBA final vs the western team. However we all know Doc Rivers will have his team show up with their game faces for the play offs, and this may be the last year for KG and The Truth to have a shot at glory, with Boston having a great point guard in Rondo and a decentish bench.
I have added the Bulls mainly due to my bias as a huge bulls fan, but also that i live in hope of Rose's return leading the team to a deep play off run.

Now for who will actually win the play offs, as an outside bet I would advise the Memphis Grizzlies. They are a huge team, with legit talent, decent bench and a good coach. I think they are tailor made to beat the Heat who simply cannot deal with huge strong teams, being such a small team. However their biggest problem is going to be making it out of the West, with such a stacked conference this will prove difficult. But they are definitely worth an outside bet.

I am going to gamble on the fact that Thunder may just have too much for the rest of the west come play off time and therefore face the Heat in the NBA final. If this is the case then heat takes this...I think?!!? there will be so much talent on display however, Lebron is Lebron, untouchable and unplayable when it is needed. In Battier and Allen they have a huge threat from beyond the arc, with Wade (who has immensely struggled so far this season) who I think may have 1 last year of greatness in him before we see him decline at a rapid rate  unless he can change his game and post up a little more. (his struggles this season seem to be due to a lack of athleticism though it is early days since his knee injury so i'll cut him some slack for now). I just don't see how thunder can guard miami, with doubling lebron who can drive and pop it out to a free ray allen who will punish the Thunder time after time. Therefore my prediction for the NBA this year is unfortunately a little boring in the fact that I am having to go with the pre season favorites Miami Heat.


 Lastly, I would like to give my thoughts on the Chicago Bulls, being that they are Adam and I's team and we follow them religiously.  I think the season has started pretty much as people have predicted, with the bulls hovering just over the .500 mark. A lot of people have predicted around a 50% win rate this year for the bulls, however maybe it is a little surprising how well they have done without Rose so far and a completely new bench. I have enjoyed watching Nate zipping around the court like one of those Duricell Energizer bunnies from the adverts. he has provided some real spark off the bench and come up with some decent numbers so far, Boozer has maybe done a little better than expected and Deng has started the season really well. Noah is in the best form I have ever seen from him and i think he deserves to make All Star this year if he keeps it up. Unfortunately I have been extremely disappointed with Kirk. I know he has had his injuries but he does not seem to be running the point particularly well at all (i don't know who i am shocked) and seems to be chucking up ridiculously tough shots at the end of shot clocks or passing it to a team mate with 4 seconds left on the clock. Jimmy has come on and done well at points and I hope with Rip injured he will be given some more minutes with deng maybe filling in at 2. With regards to the rookie point guard we signed in Teague, I haven't seen enough of him yet to make a judgement but he seems ok but needs a lot of work if he is to develop into a solid NBA starter.
It pains me to say it as I'm a big fan of Taj but I need to see more offense from him to justify this contract he's signed. I was happy we extended him but now he needs to step up and prove he is worth the $$$ we are paying him. I am optimistic and think he will put up some better offensive numbers.

So what do I expect from the Bulls this year?  I am expecting around a 4th seed depending on when D Rose comes back. The whispers are that he is sprinting and has started cutting which is indeed positive news. I think we can achieve around 60% win rate in the regular season, and then providing we avoid Miami until the ECF if Rose comes back to how he used to be (which is a big ask) then I can see us giving teams problems in the play offs with our excellent defense, and obviously the former MVP back to provide some much needed fire power. The bench is a worry for me, and for Bulls to make a decent play off run we need some production from Boozer (ergh) and hopefully Deng can put last seasons poor play off form vs the 76ers behind him and shine for us. If the Bulls can click with Rose having either Boozer or Deng helping him significantly on the scoring front I don't see why the bulls cannot at least reach the finals and give the Heat a series (probably losing 4-1).

Maybe I am being a little optimistic and some may think deluded, but hey, you've gotta back your team and dream a dream eh.

Thanks, Dave,

Monday 3 December 2012

Monday 3rd December

Portland @ Charlotte: Selection: Charlotte -1 point  1.90   Lost In Overtime
Raptors @ Nuggets: selection: Over 200.5 points 1.90  WON
Clippers @ Jazz: Selection: Over 196.5 points 1.90   WON
Magic @ Warriors: Selection: Over 195.5 points 1.90   WON

Current profit level: + 10.52 units

Sunday 2 December 2012

Sunday 2nd December

NY Knicks v Phoenix Suns, Phoenix Suns +15.0, 1.54

LA Lakers v Orlando Magic, Under 201 points, 1.90

Good luck!

Saturday 1 December 2012

Power rankings

RankTeamRatingv 1-5v 6-10v 11-16HighLowLast
1Memphis (12-2)111.73-01-24-01251
2Miami (11-3)110.21-24-13-02262
3New York (11-4)108.92-10-13-11143
4San Antonio (13-4)108.11-21-23-01234
5Okla City (13-4)106.90-22-13-12195
6Brooklyn (11-4)105.81-11-12-11247
7LA Clippers (9-6)105.44-11-31-03236
8Golden State (9-6)103.20-24-20-122410
9Denver (8-9)102.91-32-12-36279
10Atlanta (9-5)102.61-11-20-16278
11Utah (9-8)100.50-31-12-212711
12Philadelphia (10-6)100.30-31-02-122415
13Boston (9-7)100.11-20-22-222914
14Houston (7-8)100.01-31-10-232812
15LA Lakers (8-8)99.70-23-11-1123016
16Milwaukee (7-7)99.30-30-02-152513
17Indiana (8-8)98.40-30-11-132718
18Chicago (7-7)98.30-10-11-342417
19Minnesota (7-8)98.10-01-41-092619
20Dallas (7-9)96.81-10-11-312922
21Phoenix (7-10)96.40-21-10-3152820
22Portland (6-10)96.30-20-33-152221
23New Orleans (4-10)95.70-31-11-422824
24Charlotte (7-8)95.40-20-21-1133023
25Orlando (5-10)95.40-21-40-142525
26Detroit (5-12)95.10-40-12-373026
27Cleveland (4-12)94.90-32-21-2112928
28Toronto (4-13)93.80-30-10-5102929
29Sacramento (4-11)92.80-11-22-252927
30Washington (1-13)86.80-20-10-453030